MODELLING THE ADAPTATION CAPABILITIES OF SUNFLOWER AND WINTER WHEAT TO CROP ROTATION AND POSSIBLE CLIMATIC CHANGE IN THRACE
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Abstract
In agriculture, most changes in atmospheric conditions are uncontrolled factors caused by climate change or variability that could have effects on different sectors. Globally, major important sector is agriculture by means of supplying food on Earth. Determination of the positive and negative effects of climate change to make provision for possible future conditions could be executed using CropClimate models. Developed by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), the AquaCrop is an explanatory Crop-Climate model, which could be used to analyze such relationships between climate change and food productivity. In this research, variations in the growth and yield parameters associated with rotation between the sunflower and winter wheat were investigated using AquaCrop between the periods of 2014 and 2016 in Kırklareli and Edirne cities which have specific climates and soil types in the Thrace Region. Moreover, main yield-related outputs of the model will been validated after model AquaCrop will simulate sunflower and winter wheat crop rotation until 2099 for Thrace Region to expand our future perspective.
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